Herrera FC vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
8º
12º
11º
18
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 19% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
AZU
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
SFF
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 2
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
AZU
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
COS
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMI
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
TAU
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
AMA
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |