Herrera FC vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
8º
6º
19
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 1
AZU
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COS
2 - 1
AZU
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 0
ARA
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 2
AZU
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
1 - 2
AZU
26%
27%
48%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 1
SFF
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
5 - 0
CHI
69%
21%
11%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
AMA
19%
27%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARA
59%
25%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
SMI
43%
30%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +2 |