Herrera FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
10º
5º
24
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UME
3 - 2
AZU
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 2
AZU
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
AZU
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
9 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
SFF
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 2
IND
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IND
3 - 0
TAU
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |