Herrera FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 0
AZU
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
AZU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 1
AZU
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
AZU
3 - 1
CHO
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AZU
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
SFF
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
SUN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
TAU
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 5
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |