Herrera FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
11º
3º
5
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 25 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
|
2º
|
5 | 24 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 23 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 23 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 23 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 22 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 22 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 22 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 19 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 19 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 17 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
8.5% | 16% |
|
Next round
|
26% | 26% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 58% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 1
AZU
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
IND
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 0
AZU
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 0
SUN
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AZU
2 - 0
UME
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
SFF
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
CHO
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 0
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
UME
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |