Herrera FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
12º
12º
23
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 0
AZU
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
AZU
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AZU
0 - 1
TAU
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COS
2 - 2
AZU
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 1
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHO
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
SMI
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
4 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |