Herrera FC vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 5
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 0
AZU
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
AZU
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SFF
3 - 1
AZU
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
AZU
3 - 1
CHO
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 3
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
3 - 2
CHO
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
SFF
33%
28%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 5
IND
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
AZU
3 - 1
CHO
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |