Herrera FC vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 0
AZU
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 0
SFF
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 2
SUN
43%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
AZU
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 1
IND
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
SMI
3 - 2
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
AMA
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
COS
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |