Herrera FC vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
28.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 1
AZU
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 0
TAU
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 0
SFF
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 2
CHI
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
AZU
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
SFF
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
SUN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 0
AFC
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
SMI
49%
28%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 0
COS
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |