Azerbaijan vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
69%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
AZE
3 - 2
KAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 1
AZE
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 1
BGR
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 0
MNG
75%
17%
9%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
5 - 0
AZE
92%
6%
2%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SWE
0 - 3
SRB
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POR
5 - 2
SWE
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |