Azerbaijan vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
66.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
AZE
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
GER
4 - 0
AZE
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 98 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 2
FIN
20%
28%
53%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 2
GER
7%
17%
77%
|
65 | 98 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 6
ESP
7%
20%
73%
|
65 | 100 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
RUS
0 - 1
GER
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 3
RUS
26%
27%
46%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 0
LIE
80%
14%
5%
|
93 | 24 | 69 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 3
ARG
30%
27%
43%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
FIN
0 - 3
RUS
28%
26%
45%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |