Azerbaijan vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
71.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
POR
7 - 0
AZE
89%
9%
2%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
EST
2 - 2
AZE
36%
25%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
AZE
2 - 1
EST
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
2 - 1
AZE
27%
23%
50%
|
65 | 10 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
AZE
0 - 4
HUN
7%
15%
78%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ROU
0 - 0
SVK
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
ROU
0 - 2
ISR
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
ROU
2 - 0
EST
95%
4%
1%
|
92 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
HUN
1 - 1
ROU
32%
28%
41%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
ROU
46%
27%
27%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |