Azerbaijan vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2013 |
QAT
1 - 1
AZE
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
AZE
0 - 2
POR
7%
19%
74%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
17%
24%
60%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 0
LIE
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
AZE
0 - 0
UZB
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 3
FIN
11%
20%
70%
|
38 | 83 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
17%
24%
60%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
LUX
1 - 1
ARM
13%
22%
65%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
SCO
9%
21%
71%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ISR
3 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 85 | 48 | 0 |