Azerbaijan vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
TJK
2 - 3
AZE
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
AZE
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 3
POL
9%
20%
71%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 0
FIN
18%
27%
56%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
POL
5 - 0
AZE
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GEO
1 - 1
UKR
33%
30%
37%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 0
GEO
14%
20%
67%
|
77 | 34 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
FRA
1 - 0
GEO
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 99 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 0
GEO
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
GEO
3 - 1
FRO
79%
14%
6%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |