Azerbaijan vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
72.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
JOR
1 - 1
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LVA
2 - 2
AZE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
AZE
3 - 1
UZB
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
KAZ
2 - 3
AZE
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MDA
2 - 1
AZE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
LVA
0 - 2
WAL
26%
28%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 0
CAN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
NOR
0 - 0
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
HUN
1 - 2
WAL
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
WAL
4 - 0
SCO
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |