Azerbaijan vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.9%
76.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
FIN
3 - 0
AZE
91%
7%
3%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
AZE
0 - 2
ITA
6%
22%
72%
|
64 | 98 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
AZE
2 - 0
UZB
18%
22%
59%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2002 |
IRN
1 - 1
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
LVA
0 - 0
AZE
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
WAL
2 - 1
ITA
20%
28%
52%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
FIN
0 - 2
WAL
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 0
GER
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
WAL
0 - 0
CZE
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |