Azerbaijan vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
AZE
2 - 1
EST
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
2 - 1
AZE
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
AZE
0 - 4
HUN
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
SVK
3 - 0
AZE
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
AZE
1 - 0
GEO
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
ROU
2 - 0
EST
95%
4%
1%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1999 |
EST
3 - 3
NOR
8%
20%
72%
|
56 | 91 | 35 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1999 |
ISR
7 - 0
EST
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
AZE
2 - 1
EST
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
ARM
2 - 1
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |