Azerbaijan vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
2 - 1
AZE
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
AZE
0 - 4
HUN
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
SVK
3 - 0
AZE
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1998 |
AZE
1 - 0
GEO
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1998 |
LTU
1 - 2
AZE
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
ARM
2 - 1
EST
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
GEO
3 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
CZE
4 - 1
EST
95%
4%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
SCO
3 - 2
EST
87%
11%
3%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
EST
2 - 2
EGY
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |