Azerbaijan vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
63.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 1
ENG
5%
17%
78%
|
65 | 98 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 0
NIR
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
2 - 0
AZE
92%
7%
2%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
AZE
1 - 1
WAL
8%
19%
73%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
JOR
1 - 1
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
BGR
4 - 1
MLT
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
BGR
57%
25%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ISL
1 - 3
BGR
32%
29%
39%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
IRL
1 - 1
BGR
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 1
BGR
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |