Azerbaijan U19 vs Croatia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 1
AZE
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 2
ISL
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 2
ITA
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ROU
3 - 0
AZE
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 0
SWE
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Croatia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
ISL
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 0
GEO
70%
18%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 0
SRB
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 0
CRO
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 1
CRO
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |