Azerbaijan U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
71.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
ENG
2 - 0
AZE
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
POL
3 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
5%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 0
ENG
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AZE
0 - 2
GER
8%
16%
77%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
AUT
3 - 0
AZE
69%
17%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
POL
3 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
5%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
61%
21%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 2
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 3
POL
23%
23%
54%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
POL
1 - 3
ENG
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |