Azerbaijan U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
60.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
2 - 2
BEL
11%
18%
71%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
0 - 2
NOR
15%
20%
65%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
4 - 1
AZE
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ENG
6 - 0
AZE
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 78 | 39 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
EST
1 - 3
AZE
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
5 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
2 - 1
BEL
31%
26%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
ISL
3 - 1
DEN
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |