Azerbaijan U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
AZE
1 - 2
AUT
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AZE
2 - 3
BLR
18%
23%
59%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 0
AZE
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
LUX
2 - 1
AZE
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
ENG
7 - 0
AZE
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 0
BLR
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AUT
1 - 0
SCO
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
5 - 2
ALB
57%
22%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 1
SCO
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 3
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |