Azerbaijan U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
4%
|
38 | 82 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 1
ALB
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 0
AZE
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 2
AZE
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 2
GRC
14%
21%
66%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRC
3 - 4
CRO
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 2
CRO
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 2
AZE
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 0
CRO
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |