AZ Alkmaar vs Zenit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AZA
5 - 1
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
AZA
40%
24%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RJC
1 - 1
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BJK
1 - 4
AZA
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zenit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FCR
0 - 0
ZEN
35%
26%
40%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
ZEN
2 - 0
UFA
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
KRA
2 - 1
ZEN
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
ZEN
2 - 0
MTA
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ZEN
3 - 1
KRS
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |