AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 0
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
56%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 0
ACH
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VOL
0 - 2
AZA
23%
23%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
VOL
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
FEY
1 - 1
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |