AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
DNI
1 - 2
AZA
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 1
KRS
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GRO
2 - 0
WIL
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 0
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 2
WIL
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |