AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FOR
2 - 2
AZA
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
5 - 1
AZA
83%
12%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
AZA
0 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1998 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 0
DTB
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |