AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
VOL
2 - 2
AZA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
AZA
1 - 3
RJC
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
FOR
1 - 0
AZA
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1997 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
16%
24%
61%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
1 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
WIL
0 - 2
FEY
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |