AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
FEY
7 - 2
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
AZA
0 - 0
VVV
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
VOL
1 - 1
AZA
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1988 |
AZA
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
89%
8%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1988 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1988 |
HFC
1 - 3
WIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1988 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
WIL
1 - 0
BOS
49%
25%
27%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |