AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ELI
2 - 0
AZA
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
AZA
2 - 0
AJA
30%
20%
50%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
AZA
2 - 4
FEY
39%
22%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
VVV
1 - 3
AZA
55%
21%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
WIL
0 - 1
ENS
48%
22%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIL
64%
18%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
NAC
2 - 1
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
WIL
4 - 1
ELI
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |