AZ Alkmaar vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
RAP
1 - 1
AZA
58%
20%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
AZA
0 - 0
MVV
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
TSV
0 - 0
AZA
37%
23%
40%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 4
VVD
45%
22%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
DWS
4 - 2
AZA
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
VVV
1 - 0
ENS
60%
20%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 3
VVV
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
VVV
1 - 2
WIL
66%
18%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ELI
0 - 2
VVV
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
VVV
2 - 0
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |