AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 1
TWE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
AZA
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
4 - 1
AZA
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AZA
0 - 0
GRO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
FEY
28%
25%
48%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
4 - 2
SCH
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |