AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 1
SHA
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
SHA
1 - 3
AZA
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
34%
24%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 1
AAA
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BOS
1 - 2
VIT
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 4
ADO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
VIT
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |