AZ Alkmaar vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 1
AZA
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
AZA
7 - 0
NAC
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
VIT
1 - 1
HFC
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 0
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
GAE
5 - 1
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
3 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |