AZ Alkmaar vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
TWE
1 - 4
AZA
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
AZA
2 - 1
GAE
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
PSV
0 - 0
AZA
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
FCB
1 - 1
AZA
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
TEL
0 - 6
GAE
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
RJC
2 - 0
TEL
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TEL
0 - 1
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
NAC
2 - 2
TEL
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
TEL
5 - 1
VIT
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |