AZ Alkmaar vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 0
AZA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
MVV
3 - 0
AZA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 1
NEC
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 1
AMS
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 0
RJC
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ADO
0 - 0
TEL
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
TEL
2 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 1
TEL
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
TEL
2 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |