AZ Alkmaar vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
SHS
3 - 0
AZA
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
VOL
2 - 1
AZA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
AZA
2 - 3
VVD
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
89%
7%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
AZA
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
18%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
TEL
0 - 3
PSV
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MVV
3 - 0
TEL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
TEL
0 - 0
FEY
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
TWE
2 - 1
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
TEL
1 - 0
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |