AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
RJC
3 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
HFC
0 - 2
AZA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BOS
2 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
AZA
5 - 1
GRO
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
AZA
2 - 2
ZWO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRO
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1987 |
HFC
1 - 0
SPA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
0 - 0
ZWO
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 1
FEY
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |