AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
6 - 0
AZA
53%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
0 - 0
GAE
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
PSV
2 - 1
AZA
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
2 - 3
PSV
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
DWS
0 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
MVV
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
FEY
2 - 1
SPA
79%
15%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |