AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 2
AZA
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 2
AZA
28%
24%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2000 |
AZA
4 - 0
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
SCH
3 - 0
AZA
53%
23%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
TWE
4 - 1
AZA
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cambuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2000 |
BVO
0 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BVO
0 - 0
FOR
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 1
BVO
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
BVO
0 - 0
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
GRA
3 - 1
BVO
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |