AZ Alkmaar vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
GRO
0 - 0
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 1
TWE
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 3
ZWO
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
BOS
2 - 2
AZA
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
AZA
2 - 0
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
AJA
2 - 0
RJC
87%
8%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 2
RJC
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
RJC
4 - 0
GAE
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 1
RJC
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
RJC
0 - 4
PSV
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |