AZ Alkmaar vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 6
AZA
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
AZA
5 - 1
TEL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
RJC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
RJC
2 - 3
AND
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
EIN
0 - 0
RJC
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
RJC
3 - 0
AMS
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |