Europa League 1/32
Global 10-0
AZ Alkmaar vs Red Boys Differdange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.8%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
+6
7.4%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.3%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.3%
1.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
AZA
4 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
GRO
1 - 4
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 4
AZA
23%
25%
53%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Red Boys Differdange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
OMO
6 - 1
RBD
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 70 | 58 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
RBD
2 - 1
OMO
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 71 | 60 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1977 |
RBD
0 - 5
AZA
11%
16%
73%
|
11 | 82 | 71 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
AZA
11 - 1
RBD
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 82 | 71 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
LOK
3 - 1
RBD
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 78 | 67 | 0 |