AZ Alkmaar vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 0
FCE
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 3
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 0
AZA
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AZA
3 - 0
RKC
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
4 - 1
RIJ
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
CAD
0 - 1
RSO
12%
21%
67%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 0
AZA
68%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 4
RSO
24%
24%
51%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
0 - 1
NAP
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |