Europa League Last 16
Global 7-2
AZ Alkmaar vs Radnicki Nis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.6%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.7%
3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
UTR
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
RAD
2 - 2
AZA
19%
21%
60%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
AZA
5 - 2
FEY
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1980 |
AZA
5 - 0
LSO
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Radnicki Nis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1980 |
RAD
2 - 2
AZA
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
RAD
2 - 1
BER
42%
22%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BER
0 - 1
RAD
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
RAD
4 - 1
LAS
56%
21%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
LAS
1 - 2
RAD
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |