AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
AZA
4 - 0
ZWO
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 4
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 3
PSV
24%
23%
54%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
6 - 0
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
25%
26%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
PSV
4 - 2
NEC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
5 - 2
GRO
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 3
PSV
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 3
AJA
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |