AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
AZA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AZA
2 - 2
NAC
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
AZA
7 - 0
RKC
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 1
AZA
29%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ZWO
2 - 0
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 2
ADO
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VOL
0 - 5
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
RBC
0 - 3
PSV
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 1
PSV
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |