AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
FCD
1 - 1
AZA
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
RJC
3 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
HFC
0 - 2
AZA
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
BOS
2 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
PSV
2 - 0
RAP
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
PSV
4 - 1
GRO
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RAP
1 - 2
PSV
42%
24%
33%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
PSV
5 - 1
ZWO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
WIL
0 - 6
PSV
15%
23%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |