AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
AZA
0 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
BVV
3 - 1
AZA
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 0
GAE
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
PSV
4 - 0
TWE
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1987 |
ZWO
2 - 0
PSV
15%
23%
61%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
PSV
6 - 1
BOS
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
FEY
1 - 1
PSV
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
PSV
5 - 0
UTR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |